Roger Clemens - 200 Times More Likely to Come Back Than MJ Was

Roger Clemens told a Houston TV station on Tuesday that the chances of him staying home vs. playing again were about "80-20" right now. Of course no one really holds great athletes to that kind of statement these days. Everyone remembers Michael Jordan's "99.9%" retirement speech and Mario Lemieux's retirement from the "Garage League" he felt the NHL had turned into and both of them came back despite age, their own reservations, and common sense.

Just out of curiousity, what do you think the odds that the Clemens-less Pettitte-less Astros are still in contention on July 1st combined with the odds that the Red Sox or Yankees desperately need a starting pitcher so badly that they will literally give someone a boat stuffed with $100 bills to pitch for them are? Maybe 20%?