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MLB

Manny vs. Mantle: Who Ya Got?

Manny Ramirez's biography added another highlight on Monday night when he hit his 537th career home run. That put him into sole possession of 15th place on the all-time list, breaking a tie with Mickey Mantle. In typical Manny fashion, he was blissfully unaware of the import of his dinger.
"To be honest, I haven't been keeping track of who I've passed or where I'm at. I just wait for you guys to tell me."
For many of us baseball fans, though, the home run gave rise to an opportunity to see where Ramirez ranks among the greatest baseball players of all time. Mantle seems like a timely comparison, one that Reid Cherner of USA Today took up on Tuesday.

Cherner is wise to point out from the get-go that Mantle was a better all-around baseball player than Ramirez, but uses a slew of statistics to argue that Ramirez may be the superior hitter. He's got more doubles, homers and RBI than the Mick, and a higher slugging percentage, OPS and batting average to boot.

The problem with the analysis is that it's based on raw numbers, with no attempt to create a neutral context to view the two players. Ramirez has slugged .594 during a career that saw his leagues post a .437 number, while Mantle posted a .557 against a .386 league. That difference is represented in OPS+ as well, which tosses in ballpark calculations and spits out a 172 for Mantle against a 156 for Ramirez.

The positives for Mantle don't stop there. Ramirez continues to lose out when looking at the weighted stats, available via Fangraphs. They show a distinct edge for Mantle, one made larger if you decide to focus on each player's prime years and give less weight to Mantle's sharp decline phase. Ramirez, a year older than Mantle in his last season, hasn't had the same decline, which may have something to do with the drug use that got him suspended for 50 games earlier this season.

That brings us to the stickiest part of this comparison. Given each man's off-field peccadilloes, you could make a pretty strong argument that you'd rather have Ramirez than Mantle. The difference between their performances is mitigated by the fact that Manny continues to rake at 37, while Mickey had already retired to the bar at that age. When push comes to shove, you'd probably prefer having a player taking steroids over one who drank too much.

That said, I'd still take Mantle over Ramirez because he was the better player and the better hitter.

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